Alternate name: Futures
Futures contracts give businesses some level of certainty about what the price of an asset will be in the future, which allows for better planning. For example, a farmer planting wheat can have an idea of how much the crop will sell for when it’s time to harvest. Investors and speculators, meanwhile, benefit from futures contracts, because they profit from anticipated price changes in these assets.
How Does a Futures Contract Work?
Future contracts are traded on a public exchange, such as the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), and the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), which are all owned by the CME Group. The role of the futures exchange is similar to the role of a stock exchange. Just like with stock trading, exchanges provide a safe and efficient place to trade futures. The contracts go through the exchange’s clearinghouse. Technically, the clearinghouse buys and sells all contracts. A single futures contract must be very specific. It must be for the same exact asset, quantity, and quality. It must also be for the same delivery month and location.
How Futures Contracts Affect the Economy
Futures help companies lock in prices, thus benefitting both the buyers and sellers. A transportation company, for example, can use futures to lock in a guaranteed price for gasoline. This allows the transportation company to budget further out into the future more accurately than it would have been able to if it were dependent on market prices for gas. Similarly, farmers use futures to lock in a sales price for their livestock or crops. They can also plan for how (and where) they will transfer possession of the goods under a contract. Just like the transportation company buying gas futures, farmers selling commodity futures can more accurately plan future revenues and costs without worrying about changing consumer demand and other variables. Hedge funds use futures contracts to gain more leverage in the commodities market. They have no intention of actually buying, selling, or physically interacting with any commodity. Instead, they plan to buy an offsetting contract at a price that will make them money. In a way, they are betting on what the future price of that commodity will be.
Types of Futures Contracts
Futures contracts are written for commodities, stocks, bonds, or currencies.
Commodities
Commodities are hard assets like wheat, gold, or oil. Of these, the most important may be oil futures, because they determine oil prices. Oil prices, in turn, are the major determinant in the price you pay at the gas pump. A rise in oil prices will raise the pump price as well.
Stocks and Bonds
Traders can trade financial instrument futures when they sense a shift in the economic trend. If they think rates will drop, for instance, then they may buy a futures contract for bonds (because bond prices rise when interest rates fall). If the trader thinks that stocks will rise, they may buy futures corresponding to the S&P 500.
Currencies
Futures contracts for currencies are written in pairs. It’s a promise to exchange a certain amount of one currency for an amount of another currency. For instance, if a trader believes that the value of the U.S. dollar will rise in comparison to the value of the Euro, then they’ll buy a USD/EUR future that matches their sentiment.
Futures Contract vs. Forward Contract
That level of customization comes with some drawbacks. Exchanges only allow for the trading of standardized contracts. Since forwards are customized, they are traded outside of standardized exchanges, or “over-the-counter” (OTC). Since they aren’t traded on an exchange, there’s less accountability with forwards, and they carry a higher risk of default.
